Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Dark Passage - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76af790cb582befcb91334b6575b0ad81278084d6fe6a80c27f201a1a9b8c63c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fire Passionof Eternal Fire Passion, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x473f…9892backed Dark Passage | 38c | 452.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dark Passage | 55c | 403.5$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Dark Passage | 71c | 376.25$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.14 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Dark Passage | 15c | 365$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Dark Passage | 43c | 321.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Eternal Fire Passion | 50c | 289.62$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Dark Passage | 77c | 183.82$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Eternal Fire Passion | 47c | 164.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 71c | 151.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Dark Passage | 47c | 137.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dark Passage | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dark Passage | 72c | 77.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Dark Passage | 27c | 76.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Eternal Fire Passion | 64c | 74.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dark Passage | 78c | 64.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Eternal Fire Passion | 38c | 46.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Eternal Fire Passion | 23c | 46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Dark Passage | 44c | 41.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dark Passage | 69c | 40.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 39c | 38.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 36c | 37.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Dark Passage | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Dark Passage - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: Eternal Fire Passion (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)Eternal Fire Passion won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Dark Passage (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group AEternal Fire Passion won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Dark Passage - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire Passion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.