MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x773844aecbdddf7353f35329977c47573867fc64134386df8cedc4b65972049b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Milwaukee Brewers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 22,434$12,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,871.02 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 19,405$8,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,538.35 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 3,564$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.16 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 2,999$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 1,581$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.66 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 1,303$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 1,133$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 1,074$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.56 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 785$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.15 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 747$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 606$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 466.79$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 451.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 440$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 344.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 278$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 224$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 222.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 204.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 194.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 177.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 166.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 95.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 85.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 67.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 57.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 54.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 52.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 43.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 27.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.