NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7756c678e5972bbefbdd7c81116230dc772ae4287fe7f3f722b37215e0e0144c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Heat, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e78…5f8ebacked Bulls | 80c | 29,494$23,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Heat | 24c | 25,803$6,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,192.63 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 71c | 16,973$12,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,016.74 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 33c | 15,070$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,060.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…7b4bbacked Bulls | 39c | 10,018$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…492fbacked Heat | 61c | 9,997$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 26c | 7,351$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403.39 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Heat | 76c | 7,066$5,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.73 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bulls | 78c | 5,130$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.48 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 41c | 4,950$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.47 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls | 41c | 4,157$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.21 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 59c | 4,029$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.14 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 49c | 3,825$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.24 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Bulls | 25c | 2,792$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.21 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 40c | 2,255$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.82 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heat | 73c | 2,000$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.85 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Heat | 58c | 2,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.97 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Bulls | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.72 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bulls | 29c | 1,694$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Heat | 59c | 1,651$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.09 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 59c | 1,389$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.16 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…e818backed Heat | 58c | 1,376$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 1c | 1,338$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls | 27c | 1,302$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.86 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Heat | 59c | 1,250$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.5 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.79 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Bulls | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Bulls | 41c | 1,039$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Bulls | 40c | 999.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Heat | 60c | 972.1$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Bulls | 40c | 951.22$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.84 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Bulls | 27c | 865.03$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.02 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls | 30c | 843.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.61 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…ab2abacked Heat | 60c | 833.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…43a9backed Bulls | 28c | 800$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Heat | 73c | 729.24$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.95 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Heat | 60c | 726$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Bulls | 41c | 724.4$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Bulls | 43c | 698.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.44 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Heat | 14c | 689.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 58c | 641.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.35 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bulls | 13c | 630.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.77 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 66c | 588.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.31 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…e598backed Bulls | 34c | 588.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 57c | 582.43$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.66 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…62e4backed Bulls | 42c | 580.36$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…957abacked Heat | 59c | 580$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Heat | 61c | 545.9$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 60c | 500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.53 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Heat | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Bulls | 31c | 500$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…1f2bbacked Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…7cabbacked Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…a619backed Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…12dabacked Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…d2e7backed Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…98d0backed Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…408cbacked Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…1be8backed Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…2ac3backed Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cd…08b2backed Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…4be3backed Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…eab3backed Heat | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…4358backed Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…56eabacked Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…6ddabacked Bulls | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…3c27backed Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…d94abacked Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…3ad7backed Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…e1adbacked Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…9d7ebacked Bulls | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…7e50backed Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…58ddbacked Heat | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…acbdbacked Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…0ca9backed Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…9f01backed Heat | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7305backed Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…f85bbacked Bulls | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…d3e2backed Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd2…7991backed Bulls | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…f30fbacked Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…64d5backed Heat | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a5…3ebfbacked Bulls | 31c | 500$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…c8c7backed Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…c04fbacked Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…241dbacked Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…1efabacked Bulls | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…805dbacked Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…1326backed Bulls | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5c…fd7bbacked Heat | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e5…f6e5backed Bulls | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…562abacked Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…58adbacked Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.