Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Iryna Shymanovich vs Nuria Parrizas Diaz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7761e8f76b31788eede23f32020226fbcbabb3e73cd643f65bf01e359422a765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shymanovichof Shymanovich, Diaz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Diaz | 45c | 2,271$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shymanovich | 49c | 1,809$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shymanovich | 39c | 1,412$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.06 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Diaz | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shymanovich | 57c | 642.82$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Shymanovich | 31c | 605.65$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.4 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Diaz | 60c | 542.44$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.07 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Diaz | 25c | 534.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Diaz | 37c | 531.73$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shymanovich | 54c | 423$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.89 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Shymanovich | 50c | 418$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.84 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diaz | 50c | 417.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Diaz | 41c | 276.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Shymanovich | 41c | 273.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Diaz | 37c | 273.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Shymanovich | 66c | 221.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Diaz | 61c | 200.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Shymanovich | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Shymanovich | 72c | 139.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Diaz | 32c | 103.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Shymanovich | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Shymanovich | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Diaz | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Diaz | 33c | 99.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Shymanovich | 80c | 91.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Shymanovich | 56c | 74.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Diaz | 48c | 60.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Diaz | 42c | 58.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Diaz | 50c | 57.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Diaz | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shymanovich | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…7e8abacked Shymanovich | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Shymanovich | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Diaz | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Diaz | 46c | 36.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Diaz | 75c | 36.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Diaz | 40c | 32.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Shymanovich | 43c | 29.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shymanovich | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Shymanovich | 61c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Diaz | 51c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…e04abacked Shymanovich | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Shymanovich | 61c | 17.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.