Movies · resolved market
Will "Cold Storage" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777a09d2ca6118fb33a9db03c2d3ee2e90fb005fe793638c1b645c535b80b6fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1ab…2e0fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,619$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 6cpaid | +852.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 12c | 605.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 10c | 481.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…81e4backed Yes | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed No | 40c | 210$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 70c | 141.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…085abacked No | 74c | 120.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…1586backed Yes | 70c | 108.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…84cdbacked No | 73c | 108$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 65.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 49c | 62.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…59afbacked No | 28c | 57.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 27c | 50.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 73c | 47.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 64c | 33.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…a128backed Yes | 72c | 31.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…a983backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Cold Storage" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Cold Storage" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Cold Storage" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Cold Storage" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.