TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabresof Devils, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0229…ea6cbacked Devils15c31,984$4,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,764.62812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-78.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x549f…c945backed Sabres78c14,977$11,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,255.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Devils17c12,163$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.2832331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Devils58c11,981$6,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,937.024955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Devils27c9,809$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.7292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Devils20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Sabres42c4,839$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.026357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Devils21c2,627$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.983650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Sabres45c2,586$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.9421652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb447…8582backed Devils12c2,141$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9920…93bcbacked Sabres42c1,824$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…2afabacked Devils58c1,815$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x116f…2737backed Sabres42c1,800$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Devils56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.0625552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa887…363bbacked Devils58c1,269$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Devils14c1,257$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.611,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Devils57c999.92$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Devils21c964.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+84.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils9c945.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.863,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Devils33c914.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Sabres60c829.78$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.0220345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Devils59c826.43$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.532619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x201f…1bbdbacked Sabres42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…2ca4backed Devils58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Devils55c799.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9925340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35af…4655backed Sabres45c671.58$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.372065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres41c631.97$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Devils54c599.06$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.493141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils58c583.5$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.431,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres42c563.91$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.061,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9973…996abacked Devils58c555$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb5…ac84backed Sabres49c548.9$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Sabres43c524.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2413756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Devils56c504.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Devils12c424.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Sabres44c402.91$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.636341.3%26 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Devils7c369$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.941643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres41c342.44$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6549351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Sabres45c339.44$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6928542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Sabres46c324.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.128744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Devils20c320.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Devils35c286.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…3f53backed Sabres78c266.83$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Sabres43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5622246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d1…5407backed Sabres45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Sabres42c213.79$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Devils57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Devils46c199.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Devils26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12de…2780backed Devils55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Devils17c177.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…c109backed Devils58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Devils58c172.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9438040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Devils58c171.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.414158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Devils59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Devils57c159.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Sabres63c149.7$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1145954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a0…4e12backed Devils8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Sabres43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.287062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Devils55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed Devils22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Sabres63c95.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Devils59c94.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8820540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Devils57c94.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.744641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed Sabres46c91.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.664141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Sabres44c78.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9562944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed4…d04fbacked Devils56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…b972backed Sabres74c67.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.526471.9%46 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Sabres43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1418259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc482…3714backed Devils58c56.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda9f…00bebacked Sabres43c55.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.684763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Sabres48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0819852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Devils56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2876450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2b…353fbacked Devils20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc531…47e5backed Sabres42c49.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7839…35e8backed Sabres43c48.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3a…b6afbacked Sabres43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ea…2dd0backed Devils57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…ed97backed Devils59c42.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Devils59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc9…0864backed Sabres42c40.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d50…c6d3backed Devils59c40.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb290…461bbacked Sabres42c39.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79d8…9c05backed Sabres41c38.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc13…9780backed Devils58c38.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf07a…0863backed Devils58c38.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7b…6d87backed Devils59c37.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0632…22a4backed Sabres42c36.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+68%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5613…f302backed Sabres42c35.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04fd…3930backed Devils59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa316…af09backed Devils59c33.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67f…a3b2backed Sabres42c33.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c56…fa77backed Devils59c33.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe358…8774backed Sabres41c33.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b1b…df89backed Devils58c31.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafcf…8427backed Devils58c31.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.