Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Ole Miss Rebels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77a32b9ac840238b42d08bde7dd18e66d9b39c3c4c12f8a784e37a3228abfdae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Arkansas Razorbacks, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 19c | 6,464$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.33 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 2,834$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.73 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ole Miss Rebels | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 2,426$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.75 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Ole Miss Rebels | 36c | 1,366$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ole Miss Rebels | 4c | 1,157$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Ole Miss Rebels | 35c | 1,064$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.55 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 36c | 1,023$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Ole Miss Rebels | 21c | 882.25$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.73 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 794.07$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 713.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 703.13$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 13c | 615.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 70c | 531.49$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Ole Miss Rebels | 4c | 490$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 3c | 386.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…002dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 6c | 283.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss Rebels | 36c | 208.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 65c | 199.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 146.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ole Miss Rebels | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Ole Miss Rebels | 38c | 123.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 62c | 123.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 19c | 89.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…73d9backed Ole Miss Rebels | 21c | 75.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ole Miss Rebels | 33c | 72.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 24c | 71.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Ole Miss Rebels | 38c | 52.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Ole Miss Rebels | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 62c | 42.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…7856backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…f522backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…d3f9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Ole Miss Rebelsthis page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 150.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-3.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.