NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b807d3230073b45adffccee97a9e293c74b68e3b8054f891d75211c41355a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Jazz, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Jazz | 16c | 31,242$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 14c | 20,100$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Jazz | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Jazz | 11c | 6,597$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.1 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz | 3c | 6,082$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…1adbbacked Jazz | 2c | 5,915$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 28cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…976cbacked Jazz | 8c | 4,016$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 5c | 2,750$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Jazz | 12c | 2,600$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.93 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Jazz | 14c | 2,378$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.83 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Jazz | 15c | 2,108$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz | 1c | 1,950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Jazz | 1c | 1,728$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Jazz | 14c | 1,200$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 12c | 1,115$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz | 2c | 1,101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz | 3c | 870.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Jazz | 12c | 850$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz | 17c | 603.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 16c | 541$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jazz | 2c | 475.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Jazz | 15c | 466.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Jazz | 7c | 440$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Jazz | 6c | 410$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz | 14c | 334.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Jazz | 14c | 332.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Hawks | 71c | 321$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 16c | 312.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jazz | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…58a1backed Jazz | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 11c | 199.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Jazz | 14c | 143.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Jazz | 18c | 136.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…0e64backed Jazz | 14c | 121.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Jazz | 14c | 117.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Jazz | 12c | 114.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eeb…a7e9backed Jazz | 14c | 111.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Jazz | 15c | 100.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Jazz | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked Jazz | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jazz | 14c | 79.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Jazz | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.