Lol · resolved market
LoL: Project Conquerors vs Ancient Ones (BO1) - Nexus League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77bab66efae73c53914fd5a6daef1121639233b030777318b50c01da75fb43ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Project Conquerorsof Project Conquerors, Ancient Ones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Project Conquerors | 67c | 1,798$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.5 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ancient Ones | 41c | 1,328$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.49 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Project Conquerors | 57c | 1,141$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.33 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Ancient Ones | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ancient Ones | 13c | 181.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ancient Ones | 12c | 135$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ancient Ones | 13c | 122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ancient Ones | 14c | 119.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Project Conquerors | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed Project Conquerors | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Ancient Ones | 36c | 78.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…cf07backed Ancient Ones | 34c | 72.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Ancient Ones | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Ancient Ones | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Project Conquerors | 80c | 39.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…59debacked Project Conquerors | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.