CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77fe06bb9c5b23603f3599d277fc75bd7623f712a45504ff37d4701928df4078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- roamsfiestof Johnny Speeds, roamsfiest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed roamsfiest | 50c | 1,978$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.2 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Johnny Speeds | 18c | 1,946$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.46 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Johnny Speeds | 66c | 1,737$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.2 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 688.56$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.24 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked roamsfiest | 34c | 367.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed roamsfiest | 37c | 365.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed roamsfiest | 31c | 323.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 292.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed roamsfiest | 35c | 284.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked roamsfiest | 38c | 256.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked roamsfiest | 50c | 244.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed roamsfiest | 57c | 241$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked roamsfiest | 47c | 219.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked roamsfiest | 53c | 194$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked roamsfiest | 57c | 183.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed roamsfiest | 35c | 157.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked roamsfiest | 52c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed roamsfiest | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed roamsfiest | 30c | 124.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed roamsfiest | 52c | 118.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaab…0456backed Johnny Speeds | 70c | 89.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed roamsfiest | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked roamsfiest | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Johnny Speeds | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffsroamsfiest won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Map Handicap: JS (-1.5) vs roamsfiest (+1.5)roamsfiest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.