Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Salma Djoubri vs Margaux Maquet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78730d66732eed2bc8190750d23b472029f090e08ecd794ca36eff0ac28fad29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Margaux Maquetof Salma Djoubri, Margaux Maquet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5698…4a0fbacked Salma Djoubri | 9c | 2,117$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.15 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Salma Djoubri | 21c | 1,382$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.11 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Margaux Maquet | 79c | 686$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Margaux Maquet | 78c | 601.83$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Salma Djoubri | 25c | 256.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Salma Djoubri | 12c | 253.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Margaux Maquet | 80c | 191.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Margaux Maquet | 53c | 155.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Margaux Maquet | 77c | 132.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Margaux Maquet | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Margaux Maquet | 79c | 49.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Salma Djoubri | 21c | 49.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Margaux Maquet | 79c | 49.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Salma Djoubri | 25c | 40.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Margaux Maquet | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Margaux Maquet | 60c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Margaux Maquet | 62c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…06bdbacked Margaux Maquet | 75c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Margaux Maquet | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.