Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787bf37a7985a6871a332295bdb9d38c1d99cd712853eb728751db5926b6dcb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx | 59c | 5,183$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.48 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MODUS | 47c | 3,998$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.7 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Lynx | 69c | 2,972$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.43 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked MODUS | 58c | 2,461$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.95 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Lynx | 44c | 815.31$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.1 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Team Lynx | 55c | 732.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 53c | 719.27$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed MODUS | 36c | 650.37$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Lynx | 50c | 650$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.9 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx | 58c | 587.91$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.9 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked MODUS | 54c | 542.86$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MODUS | 68c | 436.22$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.61 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 405.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Team Lynx | 59c | 404.65$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.22 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Team Lynx | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MODUS | 62c | 350.07$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked MODUS | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Team Lynx | 52c | 278.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked MODUS | 60c | 274.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Team Lynx | 49c | 269.06$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed MODUS | 7c | 263.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Team Lynx | 40c | 244.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked Team Lynx | 63c | 233.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked MODUS | 26c | 207.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked MODUS | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a13…0473backed MODUS | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS | 47c | 199.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx | 41c | 198.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 195.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Lynx | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MODUS | 34c | 194.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed MODUS | 47c | 173.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…52eabacked Team Lynx | 49c | 150.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MODUS | 40c | 150.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked MODUS | 57c | 148.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Lynx | 50c | 146.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked MODUS | 35c | 138.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Lynx | 56c | 132.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MODUS | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx | 43c | 118.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed MODUS | 60c | 110.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MODUS | 46c | 102.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…89f8backed Team Lynx | 74c | 99.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MODUS | 46c | 94.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 90.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Team Lynx | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…a838backed Team Lynx | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed MODUS | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…1321backed Team Lynx | 54c | 68.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Team Lynx | 53c | 63.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a1…1606backed Team Lynx | 53c | 60.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MODUS | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…aaadbacked MODUS | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Team Lynx | 59c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MODUS | 42c | 57.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Lynx | 34c | 56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked MODUS | 53c | 55.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…a5a2backed MODUS | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked MODUS | 42c | 50.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Lynx | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed MODUS | 34c | 48.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed Team Lynx | 53c | 46.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed MODUS | 59c | 43.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Team Lynx | 61c | 41.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team Lynx | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MODUS | 36c | 39.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Lynx | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed MODUS | 48c | 35.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed Team Lynx | 43c | 34.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Team Lynx | 54c | 33.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Lynx | 62c | 26.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 47c | 26.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 49c | 22.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…5f3bbacked Team Lynx | 76c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 18.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.