Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Nicolas Zanellato vs Maximo Zeitune
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x788895198fc1105ec76bca467584265eed6586db64da1bad500577a7385f4006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Zanellatoof Nicolas Zanellato, Maximo Zeitune
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Zanellato | 69c | 9,107$6,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.85 | 11,920 | 43.3%5,167 W · 6,753 L | +24.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maximo Zeitune | 33c | 8,860$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.28 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maximo Zeitune | 21c | 1,493$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.61 | 6,601 | 54.4%3,591 W · 3,010 L | +283.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Nicolas Zanellato | 70c | 662.42$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…7ae0backed Nicolas Zanellato | 54c | 507$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maximo Zeitune | 46c | 433$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 5,036 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,097 L | -23.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Nicolas Zanellato | 59c | 369.56$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Maximo Zeitune | 20c | 368.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Zanellato | 64c | 275.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 8,971 | 42.7%3,828 W · 5,143 L | -164.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maximo Zeitune | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 6,760 | 46.3%3,128 W · 3,632 L | -39.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…72dcbacked Nicolas Zanellato | 54c | 207$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…3c64backed Nicolas Zanellato | 54c | 207$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Maximo Zeitune | 21c | 154$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed7…0098backed Nicolas Zanellato | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Maximo Zeitune | 17c | 94.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1,823 | 46.5%848 W · 975 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maximo Zeitune | 15c | 74.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 8,162 | 50.8%4,144 W · 4,018 L | +80.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Nicolas Zanellato | 69c | 60.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1,331 | 64.6%860 W · 471 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Maximo Zeitune | 21c | 59.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Maximo Zeitune | 22c | 58.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Maximo Zeitune | 21c | 57.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maximo Zeitune | 42c | 50.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Maximo Zeitune | 21c | 48.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nicolas Zanellato | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Maximo Zeitune | 54c | 25.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Nicolas Zanellato | 76c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 366 | 56.6%207 W · 159 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.