MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78c002fa7b67558bc5f52d5d53b70721830053fe86f403884b6cdb1fd45a6576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 600.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed NC Dinos | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed SSG Landers | 49c | 568.26$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.45 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed SSG Landers | 51c | 464$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.64 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed NC Dinos | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed NC Dinos | 53c | 309.36$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed NC Dinos | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 50c | 282.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.07 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed SSG Landers | 47c | 273.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed SSG Landers | 52c | 217.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed NC Dinos | 50c | 201.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed NC Dinos | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 51c | 137.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed NC Dinos | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed NC Dinos | 47c | 98.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked SSG Landers | 32c | 77.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed SSG Landers | 51c | 73.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 56c | 70.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed NC Dinos | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 333 | 28.2%94 W · 239 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 50c | 59.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked NC Dinos | 66c | 57.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked SSG Landers | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed SSG Landers | 54c | 50.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed NC Dinos | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SSG Landers | 50c | 39.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 50c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked SSG Landers | 67c | 34.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked SSG Landers | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked NC Dinos | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 77c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.