Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Marilouise Van Zyl vs Astrid Cirotte
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79488a0e7c7523329701b473ed63560e6def55c444a15ded9cc4f267e7283acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrid Cirotteof Marilouise Van Zyl, Astrid Cirotte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 18c | 1,068$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 10c | 664.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 11c | 552.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 50c | 468.71$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Astrid Cirotte | 56c | 402$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Astrid Cirotte | 50c | 375$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 18c | 252$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 20c | 244.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 46c | 243.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 15c | 239.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Astrid Cirotte | 56c | 179.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 9c | 168$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Astrid Cirotte | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 28c | 131.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 24c | 111.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Astrid Cirotte | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 21c | 83.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Astrid Cirotte | 54c | 72.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Astrid Cirotte | 80c | 70.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Astrid Cirotte | 56c | 69.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Astrid Cirotte | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Astrid Cirotte | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Astrid Cirotte | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…d9ebbacked Astrid Cirotte | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astrid Cirotte | 50c | 34.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Astrid Cirotte | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Astrid Cirotte | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…6eddbacked Astrid Cirotte | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Hillcrest: Marilouise Van Zyl vs Astrid Cirottethis page
- ITF Women Hillcrest: Completed Match: Marilouise Van Zyl vs Astrid CirotteYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.