Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Youngstown State Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79533ade9fb6de32c6a848a0b40b00b2339eae8f23af43c26bc84daece3e7f51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Panthersof Milwaukee Panthers, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 3,265$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.86 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 54c | 3,226$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…ff55backed Youngstown State Penguins | 59c | 2,881$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Youngstown State Penguins | 13c | 1,552$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 1,521$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.57 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Panthers | 52c | 964.98$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.28 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 24c | 654$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 63c | 564$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.03 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Youngstown State Penguins | 59c | 562.73$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Panthers | 47c | 497.95$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 377.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.89 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 296.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 50c | 273.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.61 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Milwaukee Panthers | 30c | 241.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Milwaukee Panthers | 30c | 201$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Milwaukee Panthers | 69c | 176$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 80c | 155.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Panthers | 52c | 135.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Youngstown State Penguins | 70c | 135$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Youngstown State Penguins | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 69c | 76.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked Youngstown State Penguins | 55c | 72.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Milwaukee Panthers | 53c | 54.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Youngstown State Penguins | 50c | 50.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…3195backed Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 50.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 80c | 36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…5602backed Youngstown State Penguins | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 78c | 19.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Youngstown State Penguinsthis page
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-6.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.