TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Giovana Schincariol Barbosa vs Isabella Barrera Aguirre

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Isabella Barrera Aguirreof Giovana Schincariol Barbosa, Isabella Barrera Aguirre
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Isabella Barrera Aguirre58c1,290$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.888358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Isabella Barrera Aguirre61c581.19$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0878838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Giovana Schincariol Barbosa43c472.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.668,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Isabella Barrera Aguirre60c429.36$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.291,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Giovana Schincariol Barbosa40c296.13$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.826,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Isabella Barrera Aguirre77c286.29$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.062,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Giovana Schincariol Barbosa25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020939.7%83 W · 126 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Giovana Schincariol Barbosa17c197.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4210537.1%39 W · 66 L-11.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Giovana Schincariol Barbosa52c157.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9412446.8%58 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Isabella Barrera Aguirre78c92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2437058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Giovana Schincariol Barbosa54c89.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.244,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Giovana Schincariol Barbosa55c74.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.757,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Giovana Schincariol Barbosa20c72.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Giovana Schincariol Barbosa22c58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+53.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Isabella Barrera Aguirre73c30.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2611951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05f…2465backed Isabella Barrera Aguirre67c24.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.078067.5%54 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Isabella Barrera Aguirre69c18.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5882159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Isabella Barrera Aguirre77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.460341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.