Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79961ec89f1ffbdab7e21e13c341faf6f4cd516fcbcb163f0f3feeb94e892653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Seyboth Wildof Thiago Seyboth Wild, Yu-Hsiou Hsu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 792.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 508.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 75c | 433.13$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 9c | 332.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 77c | 215.8$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 22c | 173.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 19c | 140.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 79c | 123$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 18c | 113.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 21c | 113$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 24c | 79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 25c | 61.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 132 | 31.1%41 W · 91 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…3eb6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 25c | 49.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…fdb0backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…9d52backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…b0c5backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…f1f6backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 75c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Yu-Hsiou Hsuthis page
- Set Handicap: Wild (-1.5) vs Hsu (+1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.