MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x799ded2c631cbfec96219ca64c983c5b9bdf714670a951a0be0d38440d9619cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Padres, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Padres | 53c | 15,329$8,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,110.08 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 53c | 14,630$7,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,692.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Padres | 53c | 9,333$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Twins | 47c | 9,317$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 49c | 8,880$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.6 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Twins | 45c | 5,007$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.67 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Twins | 63c | 4,420$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.03 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Padres | 54c | 3,674$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 45c | 3,510$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 52c | 3,466$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.4 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 52c | 3,330$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.95 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 59c | 2,894$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 53c | 2,064$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.9 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 50c | 1,626$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.58 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 45c | 1,624$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 50c | 1,534$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 46c | 1,120$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 8c | 1,110$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Twins | 50c | 1,066$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 14c | 1,031$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Padres | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 49c | 713.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.86 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres | 61c | 690.93$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.91 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 46c | 652$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Twins | 47c | 643.52$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.07 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Twins | 48c | 629.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.02 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 53c | 545$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 45c | 510.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Padres | 53c | 497.45$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 44c | 480.4$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.02 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 54c | 470.18$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Twins | 47c | 377$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked Padres | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 45c | 349.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Twins | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 57c | 324.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 41c | 311.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Twins | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Padres | 51c | 261.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Twins | 44c | 249.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins | 47c | 238$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Padres | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Padres | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Twins | 45c | 198.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Padres | 51c | 197.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 54c | 194.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Twins | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 56c | 178.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…729cbacked Padres | 49c | 169.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 55c | 147.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Padres | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 21c | 117.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Twins | 55c | 108.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…f941backed Padres | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Twins | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Padres | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 36c | 94.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Padres | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Padres | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Twins | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 47c | 83.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55b…ac0cbacked Padres | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Padres | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Padres | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 45c | 73.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Twins | 80c | 68.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Twins | 60c | 56.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 52c | 51.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Twins | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Padres | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Twins | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Twins | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8540…be12backed Padres | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Padres | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Padres | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Twins | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Padres | 53c | 30.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Padres | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 62c | 29.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Twins | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Twins | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Padres | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Padres | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Padres | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…a73bbacked Padres | 64c | 18.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Twinsthis page
- Padres vs. Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.