CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ce06fec5a8faed2c4999192f3bb286722926c5dd785ed5e782a8042ee49358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 1,645$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.94 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 60c | 1,345$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 39c | 1,268$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.69 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 35c | 771.68$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.21 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 40c | 445.62$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 58c | 403.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 34c | 369.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…145fbacked Over | 41c | 314.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 60c | 266.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 261.68$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 41c | 224.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 41c | 168$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 66c | 157.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 155.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 42c | 145.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 67c | 126.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 60c | 111.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 30c | 100.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…e03abacked Over | 42c | 91.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 41c | 64.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 36c | 63.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…5513backed Under | 66c | 52.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 36c | 51.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Over | 41c | 46.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Under | 60c | 21.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 64c | 19.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageThe Huns Esports won
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 WinnerThe Huns Esports won
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 2 WinnerThe Huns Esports won
- Map Handicap: THE (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)The Huns Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.