Euroleague · resolved market
Shanghai Sharks vs. Fujian Sturgeons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79def583bce398699f8e1e5cd7b5d8933067b462f095ad190005a6c3e08c28d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Shanghai Sharks, Fujian Sturgeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fujian Sturgeons | 12c | 19,420$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.66 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fujian Sturgeons | 10c | 5,134$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.69 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fujian Sturgeons | 9c | 4,638$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.23 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 12c | 4,607$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.86 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 32c | 3,025$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.56 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Fujian Sturgeons | 29c | 2,916$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.15 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 11c | 2,850$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.61 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 6c | 2,049$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Fujian Sturgeons | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Fujian Sturgeons | 7c | 1,794$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fujian Sturgeons | 4c | 1,192$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Fujian Sturgeons | 6c | 1,173$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 1,087$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.59 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Fujian Sturgeons | 9c | 1,011$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked Fujian Sturgeons | 10c | 960.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Fujian Sturgeons | 7c | 654.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 621.07$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +279.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fujian Sturgeons | 8c | 617.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 582.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 579.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 8c | 514.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Fujian Sturgeons | 11c | 508.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…a2eebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fujian Sturgeons | 7c | 499.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 20c | 462.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Fujian Sturgeons | 9c | 455.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…fcafbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 8c | 449.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Fujian Sturgeons | 17c | 448.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 431.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 5c | 391.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Fujian Sturgeons | 10c | 378.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 3c | 338.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…c46abacked Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 298.26$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 17c | 286.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…0bfabacked Fujian Sturgeons | 9c | 280.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Fujian Sturgeons | 6c | 271.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Fujian Sturgeons | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Fujian Sturgeons | 9c | 246.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Fujian Sturgeons | 7c | 233.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…a900backed Fujian Sturgeons | 7c | 193.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…9d5dbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 7c | 183.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Fujian Sturgeons | 17c | 180.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…4f4bbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 6c | 176.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Fujian Sturgeons | 11c | 170.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Shanghai Sharks | 60c | 163.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Fujian Sturgeons | 7c | 161.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 25c | 158.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fujian Sturgeons | 15c | 134.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Fujian Sturgeons | 30c | 129.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 29c | 127.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Shanghai Sharks | 69c | 125.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Fujian Sturgeons | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…0a7bbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 15c | 114.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Shanghai Sharks | 69c | 108.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Fujian Sturgeons | 38c | 107.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Fujian Sturgeons | 22c | 95.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 26c | 94.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Fujian Sturgeons | 17c | 93.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Fujian Sturgeons | 47c | 77.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 25c | 60.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Shanghai Sharks | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Fujian Sturgeons | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Shanghai Sharks | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Shanghai Sharks | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Fujian Sturgeons | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Fujian Sturgeons | 27c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…2a7fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 40c | 33.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Fujian Sturgeons | 41c | 26.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Shanghai Sharks | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e74…f274backed Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.