Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e12d270119702faf7dbf26bfd5352c9fcea1ef20d86060e01f8deb74a79409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CCG Esportsof NRG Esports, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed NRG Esports | 12c | 1,487$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked NRG Esports | 47c | 1,300$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.77 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed CCG Esports | 31c | 1,106$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.58 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…2168backed NRG Esports | 51c | 999.99$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed NRG Esports | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked NRG Esports | 12c | 791.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed NRG Esports | 12c | 698$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked NRG Esports | 52c | 609.43$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed NRG Esports | 39c | 590.59$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed NRG Esports | 56c | 565.68$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.55 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked CCG Esports | 58c | 532.27$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.17 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed NRG Esports | 41c | 530.62$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.91 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed NRG Esports | 39c | 527.84$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CCG Esports | 73c | 500$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked NRG Esports | 71c | 424.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed CCG Esports | 50c | 412$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CCG Esports | 48c | 399.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.13 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed NRG Esports | 31c | 393.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed NRG Esports | 67c | 356.45$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.03 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked CCG Esports | 55c | 346.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed NRG Esports | 71c | 337.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CCG Esports | 35c | 326$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked CCG Esports | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked NRG Esports | 42c | 299.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed NRG Esports | 36c | 294.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked NRG Esports | 71c | 211.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed CCG Esports | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked NRG Esports | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CCG Esports | 65c | 182.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed NRG Esports | 12c | 175.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked NRG Esports | 66c | 173.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed NRG Esports | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked NRG Esports | 69c | 144.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CCG Esports | 61c | 132.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed CCG Esports | 49c | 128.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed NRG Esports | 72c | 108.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed CCG Esports | 33c | 108.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed CCG Esports | 33c | 103.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed NRG Esports | 19c | 103.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked NRG Esports | 20c | 102.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked NRG Esports | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed NRG Esports | 54c | 93.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed CCG Esports | 60c | 87.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed CCG Esports | 51c | 77.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…7dcbbacked NRG Esports | 70c | 70.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed CCG Esports | 46c | 65.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed CCG Esports | 47c | 65.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed CCG Esports | 31c | 63.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed NRG Esports | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked NRG Esports | 54c | 55.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed CCG Esports | 51c | 51.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511d…3633backed NRG Esports | 54c | 47.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NRG Esports | 46c | 46.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked CCG Esports | 30c | 41.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NRG Esports | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked NRG Esports | 51c | 39.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed CCG Esports | 40c | 37.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed CCG Esports | 50c | 36.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NRG Esports | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed CCG Esports | 47c | 33.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed CCG Esports | 33c | 30.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed NRG Esports | 72c | 30.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278d…d3ecbacked NRG Esports | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 133 | 72.2%96 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…6483backed NRG Esports | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 269 | 58%156 W · 113 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed CCG Esports | 52c | 27.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc4…e2b9backed NRG Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)CCG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsCCG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerCCG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.