Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Weber State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a322eb9239ef34ea09de3f7900edcc6600c2c9c3d4cf6553a8bf86232c34b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Northern Colorado Bears, Weber State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a0c…6b95backed Weber State Wildcats | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4375…303cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Weber State Wildcats | 46c | 789.43$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.14 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 535$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.1 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 73c | 520.75$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Weber State Wildcats | 29c | 282$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Weber State Wildcats | 14c | 247.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Weber State Wildcats | 47c | 226.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 226.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Weber State Wildcats | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Weber State Wildcats | 42c | 123.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Weber State Wildcats | 17c | 98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 73.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Weber State Wildcats | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Weber State Wildcats | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Weber State Wildcats | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Northern Colorado Bears | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Weber State Wildcats | 47c | 24.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a590backed Northern Colorado Bears | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 78c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Weber State Wildcatsthis page
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-1.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.