Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Shuai Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a57248cb65eb38d83bbace034f756504c93053577792001b09ce4de4ceee6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Shuai Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shuai Zhang | 7c | 28,633$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Shuai Zhang | 11c | 17,716$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.76 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Shuai Zhang | 13c | 8,176$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.9 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shuai Zhang | 7c | 7,446$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Shuai Zhang | 6c | 7,039$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.16 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Shuai Zhang | 12c | 5,118$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.18 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Shuai Zhang | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Shuai Zhang | 14c | 4,237$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Shuai Zhang | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Shuai Zhang | 13c | 3,581$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.77 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Shuai Zhang | 11c | 3,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Shuai Zhang | 11c | 3,352$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.77 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Shuai Zhang | 13c | 2,024$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.09 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shuai Zhang | 12c | 1,338$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Shuai Zhang | 12c | 1,171$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Shuai Zhang | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Shuai Zhang | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Shuai Zhang | 11c | 795.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Shuai Zhang | 7c | 669.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Shuai Zhang | 11c | 574$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shuai Zhang | 6c | 520.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Shuai Zhang | 12c | 500.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Shuai Zhang | 13c | 500.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Shuai Zhang | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Shuai Zhang | 13c | 480$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Shuai Zhang | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…706dbacked Shuai Zhang | 12c | 355.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Shuai Zhang | 11c | 349.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Shuai Zhang | 14c | 268$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shuai Zhang | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Shuai Zhang | 12c | 183$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Shuai Zhang | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shuai Zhang | 12c | 93.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Shuai Zhang | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Shuai Zhangthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs ZhangMuchova won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.