Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a8bc87a56716d3f0981acd5c9cd8e10e07bbe0f7ee788417261dfda77d74ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Natus Vincere, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 939.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 703.4$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.41 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 697.93$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.57 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 279.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 276$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 276$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 249.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 189.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 185$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 122$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 101.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…83d6backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 88.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 80.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 65.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 63.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates | 74c | 61.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 59.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Gentle Mates | 77c | 51.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 28.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…d646backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…210abacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
- Series Natus Vincere Rounds Handicap (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.