Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed47f390b4852a544c8ee26682e6e300165afe73012eac6879b75954d2f9846d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Natus Vincere, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 2,879$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.05 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 2,740$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 2,355$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.15 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 1,249$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.04 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,133$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.15 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,030$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 446.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 349.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 285$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 280$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 237.03$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 235.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Gentle Mates | 74c | 202.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 184.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 175$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 115.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…67b6backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 75.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 75.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 63.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 56.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Gentle Mates | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Gentle Mates | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf14…5fa4backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 23.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
- Series Natus Vincere Rounds Handicap (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.