Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a9288fe972e902729e507e8bef3d9a1f439225c9687711e29e1e01d7256bf96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,182 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 77c | 21,266$16,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 23c | 5,636$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 13c | 5,111$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.99 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 23c | 3,577$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.81 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 79c | 2,839$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.29 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 16c | 2,369$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 4c | 1,956$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +14.4wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +170%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 23c | 1,006$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 23c | 980$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 21c | 967$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 23c | 944.52$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 26c | 678.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.53 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…c484backed No | 7c | 526.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 24c | 409.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 261.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 25c | 257.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 23c | 254.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 77c | 253$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 22c | 250.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 5c | 221.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 11c | 211.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 78c | 201$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 13c | 192.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 30c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 12c | 141.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 21c | 141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed No | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 24c | 136$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 22c | 132.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 74c | 131.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 23c | 130.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 76c | 124.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 24c | 108.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 22c | 108.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 75c | 106.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 19c | 98.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 79c | 83.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 66.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 22c | 66.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 25c | 53.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 23c | 51.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked No | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…9848backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Yes | 79c | 20.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.