CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a99595d50e99f7725791e07da6c023e4e45345057b1028a9553aadb70badd0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Privateer Gaming, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 6,050$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.75 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Privateer Gaming | 25c | 3,605$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.18 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Privateer Gaming | 35c | 1,101$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.35 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Privateer Gaming | 31c | 885.79$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.62 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Privateer Gaming | 24c | 868$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Privateer Gaming | 36c | 449.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Privateer Gaming | 25c | 392.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Misa Esports | 64c | 278.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Privateer Gaming | 22c | 239.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…5e0abacked Misa Esports | 64c | 226.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 214$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Misa Esports | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Privateer Gaming | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed Misa Esports | 64c | 156.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Privateer Gaming | 32c | 152.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Privateer Gaming | 26c | 135.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Misa Esports | 66c | 135$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 133$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Privateer Gaming | 11c | 128.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Privateer Gaming | 12c | 126.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Privateer Gaming | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Misa Esports | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Privateer Gaming | 30c | 90.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Privateer Gaming | 38c | 86.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Privateer Gaming | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Privateer Gaming | 36c | 79.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 75.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Privateer Gaming | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Privateer Gaming | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Privateer Gaming | 24c | 73.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Misa Esports | 78c | 65.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Privateer Gaming | 27c | 56.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Misa Esports | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Privateer Gaming | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 49.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Privateer Gaming | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Privateer Gaming | 36c | 40.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Privateer Gaming | 29c | 37.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Privateer Gaming | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Privateer Gaming | 36c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Misa Esports | 77c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.