CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed712735d084614f968f610e8b4746b166dfaf802035d62b4ef51112d499fd2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Privateer Gaming, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 4,000$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.35 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Privateer Gaming | 28c | 1,116$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Privateer Gaming | 47c | 706$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Privateer Gaming | 29c | 627.86$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Privateer Gaming | 54c | 605.11$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Misa Esports | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 416.74$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Privateer Gaming | 29c | 410.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Privateer Gaming | 33c | 377.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Privateer Gaming | 35c | 336$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Privateer Gaming | 58c | 318$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Privateer Gaming | 33c | 295$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Privateer Gaming | 14c | 281.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Misa Esports | 62c | 225$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Misa Esports | 63c | 225$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 223.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 46c | 196.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Privateer Gaming | 31c | 194.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 69c | 181.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Misa Esports | 63c | 175$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Privateer Gaming | 48c | 161$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Privateer Gaming | 46c | 158.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Privateer Gaming | 17c | 158$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Privateer Gaming | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Privateer Gaming | 39c | 151.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Privateer Gaming | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Privateer Gaming | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Misa Esports | 55c | 128.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Privateer Gaming | 44c | 112.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Misa Esports | 62c | 109$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Misa Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Privateer Gaming | 45c | 88.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Privateer Gaming | 15c | 82.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Privateer Gaming | 39c | 72.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Privateer Gaming | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Privateer Gaming | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Privateer Gaming | 54c | 30.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Misa Esports | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 68c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Misa Esports | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Misa Esports | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Misa Esports | 69c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.