CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ab653d26ef208f8ccd7296350552e31234890a465193e2ceb76f8b5c61410b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Eternal Fire | 11c | 1,680$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed Eternal Fire | 14c | 1,195$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Eternal Fire | 19c | 1,021$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Eternal Fire | 19c | 528.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 265.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Eternal Fire | 7c | 245.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 234.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 79c | 206.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 185$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 1WIN | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN | 49c | 171.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…e834backed 1WIN | 76c | 159.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Eternal Fire | 37c | 151.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed 1WIN | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 1WIN | 78c | 111.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked 1WIN | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 80c | 97.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…b40ebacked Eternal Fire | 15c | 89.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed 1WIN | 72c | 69.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Eternal Fire | 19c | 67.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Eternal Fire | 22c | 65.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Eternal Fire | 26c | 57.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 1WIN | 77c | 49.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed Eternal Fire | 35c | 48.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked 1WIN | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.