CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb39a9fbc11df00c491858ed45b525e0a4a7665921e95cdbeca7c53ad92f7381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 2,732$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 72c | 1,768$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked 1WIN | 56c | 1,470$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.89 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…7ab6backed Eternal Fire | 20c | 1,200$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.43 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 948.58$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 1WIN | 74c | 883.53$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Eternal Fire | 35c | 861.58$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…78c2backed 1WIN | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 488.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Eternal Fire | 30c | 429.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed 1WIN | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed 1WIN | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed 1WIN | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 269.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked 1WIN | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 230.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 62c | 227.11$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4b…fcaebacked 1WIN | 65c | 196.76$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 189.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked Eternal Fire | 28c | 183.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked 1WIN | 59c | 179.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Eternal Fire | 33c | 167.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 164.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 1WIN | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Eternal Fire | 28c | 144.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed 1WIN | 68c | 135.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 126.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed 1WIN | 59c | 123.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed 1WIN | 69c | 109.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Eternal Fire | 16c | 108.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed 1WIN | 67c | 108.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Eternal Fire | 28c | 107.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 103.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 103.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…e834backed 1WIN | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked 1WIN | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1WIN | 79c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked 1WIN | 80c | 88.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked 1WIN | 60c | 81.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked 1WIN | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 77.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked 1WIN | 78c | 77.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed 1WIN | 77c | 73.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Eternal Fire | 26c | 61.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…4363backed Eternal Fire | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked 1WIN | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…9a3dbacked 1WIN | 57c | 52.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 51.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 1WIN | 68c | 50.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed 1WIN | 43c | 43.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Eternal Fire | 36c | 43.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2e06backed 1WIN | 72c | 42.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed 1WIN | 59c | 34.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa91c…1de9backed 1WIN | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…daa9backed 1WIN | 67c | 30.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed 1WIN | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed 1WIN | 53c | 29.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 29.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…ae1fbacked 1WIN | 74c | 27.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 25.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…a963backed 1WIN | 74c | 25.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6005…9625backed 1WIN | 75c | 24.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 23.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…5847backed 1WIN | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 20.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed 1WIN | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed 1WIN | 79c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked 1WIN | 76c | 13.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.