Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aschaffenburg: Anastasiya Sobolieva vs Julia Avdeeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aeafab2d15f6bfd64c3b3dead2dd8330d48bcd2c7ba3a402e43202d34cf581b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasiya Sobolievaof Anastasiya Sobolieva, Julia Avdeeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 77c | 6,568$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Julia Avdeeva | 20c | 4,070$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.09 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Julia Avdeeva | 26c | 1,933$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.52 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Julia Avdeeva | 31c | 1,184$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.15 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Julia Avdeeva | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Julia Avdeeva | 26c | 403.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Julia Avdeeva | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 74c | 386.04$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Julia Avdeeva | 33c | 372.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Julia Avdeeva | 30c | 353.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Julia Avdeeva | 24c | 335.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 37c | 254.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 61c | 254.53$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Julia Avdeeva | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 73c | 210.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 72c | 209.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 63c | 205.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 71c | 190.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked Julia Avdeeva | 26c | 188.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 75c | 187.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 74c | 173.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Julia Avdeeva | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 73c | 131.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 76c | 126$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 72c | 119.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Julia Avdeeva | 35c | 108.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 63c | 107.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Julia Avdeeva | 18c | 75.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…54e2backed Julia Avdeeva | 28c | 73.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Julia Avdeeva | 27c | 67.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Julia Avdeeva | 37c | 66.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Julia Avdeeva | 30c | 63.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 79c | 63.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 63c | 61.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Julia Avdeeva | 39c | 53.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 51.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Julia Avdeeva | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Julia Avdeeva | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Julia Avdeeva | 32c | 47.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 45.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Julia Avdeeva | 25c | 44.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 74c | 37.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 79c | 22.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 63c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…fea3backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 73c | 20.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 72c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 64c | 18.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 77c | 18.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 69c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 75c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 78c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.