Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Amirkhamza Nasridinov vs Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1bbde94f8c1fec84d31270a6689a68c48569a12723f4c20ee28e5989b262be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadiof Amirkhamza Nasridinov, Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 44c | 4,104$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.49 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 30c | 1,635$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 61c | 1,577$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.72 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 4c | 822.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 51c | 762.69$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.96 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 53c | 722.32$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 53c | 670.03$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.67 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 56c | 633.18$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.89 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 55c | 514.29$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 20c | 508.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 54c | 423.82$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7475backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 64c | 341.44$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…aa11backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 35c | 282.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 5c | 204$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 56c | 103.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 40c | 95.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…b921backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 35c | 36.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 35c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 41c | 35.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 61c | 33.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 26.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 50c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Wuning: Amirkhamza Nasridinov vs Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadithis page
- Set Handicap: Nasridinov (-1.5) vs Fitriadi (+1.5)Fitriadi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.