Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7143f6273b0a26e967712c8e677543da090a46fc47fb4b613988fef18f1bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 2,561$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 66c | 838.84$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 42c | 749.53$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.77 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 45c | 675.5$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 344.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 201.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 172.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…54bdbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 39c | 103.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…a040backed Yes | 18c | 57.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Yes | 46c | 32.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 29.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Yes | 44c | 27.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 58c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 50c | 22.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…79a2backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.