Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Qian Sun vs Hanlei Lu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd05c3d3bc7416611869654c5737807d174b56cd9dd2990d611ef8c7f926f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanlei Luof Qian Sun, Hanlei Lu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hanlei Lu | 68c | 3,001$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.16 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Qian Sun | 44c | 1,995$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hanlei Lu | 64c | 1,656$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Qian Sun | 23c | 700.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Qian Sun | 32c | 449.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanlei Lu | 48c | 436.7$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.46 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qian Sun | 19c | 360.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Qian Sun | 21c | 355.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Qian Sun | 47c | 302.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hanlei Lu | 74c | 298.89$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Qian Sun | 20c | 280.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Qian Sun | 41c | 245.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Qian Sun | 43c | 229$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Hanlei Lu | 59c | 194.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Qian Sun | 27c | 115.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Qian Sun | 20c | 89.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Qian Sun | 30c | 69.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Qian Sun | 44c | 62.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Qian Sun | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed Qian Sun | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Qian Sun | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Qian Sun | 43c | 37.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Qian Sun | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Qian Sun | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hanlei Lu | 43c | 30.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Qian Sun | 43c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…5afebacked Hanlei Lu | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Hanlei Lu | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Qian Sun | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Qian Sun | 48c | 21.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.