Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Iowa State Cyclones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c21d7bc7dc934529800dc55f6b42e0507e167def9c3e10c024ddbc0045dde33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Creighton Bluejays, Iowa State Cyclones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa State Cyclones | 77c | 10,478$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.11 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 25c | 6,646$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Creighton Bluejays | 24c | 1,835$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.55 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Creighton Bluejays | 16c | 1,782$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Creighton Bluejays | 18c | 1,678$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.21 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 24c | 998.42$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Creighton Bluejays | 18c | 972$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.38 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 22c | 800.29$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Iowa State Cyclones | 75c | 791.98$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Creighton Bluejays | 4c | 783$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Creighton Bluejays | 27c | 774.32$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Creighton Bluejays | 60c | 685.51$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.81 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Creighton Bluejays | 24c | 583.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Iowa State Cyclones | 72c | 444.44$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Iowa State Cyclones | 40c | 403.92$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa State Cyclones | 73c | 403.5$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 73c | 400.11$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Iowa State Cyclones | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 72c | 388.89$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Creighton Bluejays | 23c | 388.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 72c | 275.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 25c | 262.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Creighton Bluejays | 16c | 256.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…3233backed Iowa State Cyclones | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 10c | 190.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Creighton Bluejays | 23c | 184.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa State Cyclones | 59c | 182.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Creighton Bluejays | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 74c | 145$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Creighton Bluejays | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Creighton Bluejays | 20c | 119.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa State Cyclones | 68c | 114.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Creighton Bluejays | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Creighton Bluejays | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Creighton Bluejays | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…f2c5backed Iowa State Cyclones | 74c | 77.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Creighton Bluejays | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…5084backed Iowa State Cyclones | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Creighton Bluejays | 15c | 66.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 64c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Creighton Bluejays | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Iowa State Cyclones | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Creighton Bluejays | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…bb56backed Creighton Bluejays | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774e…8f8cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…e890backed Iowa State Cyclones | 74c | 29.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857e…9119backed Iowa State Cyclones | 74c | 29.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…621cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…d92abacked Iowa State Cyclones | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Iowa State Cyclones | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…8900backed Iowa State Cyclones | 74c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Iowa State Cyclones | 72c | 16.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Iowa State Cyclones | 75c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Iowa State Cyclonesthis page
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-8.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.