Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Sebastian Ofner vs Matteo Martineau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4e551a50f938a21afc19037ed87d18cd85375d2cd2296705dd479f18ff8f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Ofnerof Sebastian Ofner, Matteo Martineau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Matteo Martineau | 17c | 13,513$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.65 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Matteo Martineau | 4c | 4,007$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sebastian Ofner | 76c | 1,316$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.01 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Matteo Martineau | 35c | 531.52$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.81 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Matteo Martineau | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Sebastian Ofner | 65c | 418.63$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Matteo Martineau | 36c | 388.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 320.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Sebastian Ofner | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 242.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 211.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Matteo Martineau | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Matteo Martineau | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Matteo Martineau | 14c | 172$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 156.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Sebastian Ofner | 65c | 153.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 144.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Matteo Martineau | 38c | 139.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Matteo Martineau | 32c | 132.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Matteo Martineau | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Matteo Martineau | 35c | 98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Sebastian Ofner | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Matteo Martineau | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matteo Martineau | 37c | 86.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Matteo Martineau | 38c | 83.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Matteo Martineau | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Matteo Martineau | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 47.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Matteo Martineau | 35c | 42.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Matteo Martineau | 38c | 35.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sebastian Ofner | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Sebastian Ofner | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Brieuc: Sebastian Ofner vs Matteo Martineauthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ofner vs MartineauOfner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.