TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Chattanooga Mocs vs. VMI Keydets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
VMI Keydetsof Chattanooga Mocs, VMI Keydets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89f3…dfffbacked Chattanooga Mocs9c12,467$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.061,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Chattanooga Mocs3c8,190$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2269142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chattanooga Mocs6c2,255$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.112,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Chattanooga Mocs68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36046446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked VMI Keydets53c1,854$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.024,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed VMI Keydets70c941.65$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.519050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Chattanooga Mocs12c915.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.743,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Chattanooga Mocs7c800$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Chattanooga Mocs11c449.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Chattanooga Mocs47c420$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.49440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Chattanooga Mocs26c331$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.661,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb3…26aebacked Chattanooga Mocs33c310.48$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4650%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed VMI Keydets72c276.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3410757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked VMI Keydets68c240.53$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.24,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked VMI Keydets28c194.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14012,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Chattanooga Mocs72c194.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Chattanooga Mocs10c190$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed VMI Keydets32c184$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1242327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked VMI Keydets75c174$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed VMI Keydets70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Chattanooga Mocs14c97.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.959412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed VMI Keydets79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.852,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd183…c371backed VMI Keydets77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Chattanooga Mocs33c61.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Chattanooga Mocs55c60.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.351241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Chattanooga Mocs47c51.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0119454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb6…56d3backed Chattanooga Mocs40c50.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Chattanooga Mocs70c28.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.826558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked VMI Keydets74c27.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.194673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed VMI Keydets76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.325759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Chattanooga Mocs71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.