TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Granby: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Alexandra Vagramov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexandra Vagramovof Ekaterina Ovcharenko, Alexandra Vagramov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko45c18,940$8,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,495.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Alexandra Vagramov68c12,960$8,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,126.217672.4%55 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko1c8,697$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alexandra Vagramov58c3,447$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.162,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexandra Vagramov49c2,352$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.78,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Alexandra Vagramov60c1,004$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.041,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko36c779.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.876,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Alexandra Vagramov40c587.68$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.351,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko46c412.57$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.267,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko36c350.37$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.346,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Alexandra Vagramov52c337.33$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.331,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko30c329.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.711,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko34c290.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko61c268$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.621,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alexandra Vagramov52c252$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.167,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Alexandra Vagramov31c246.84$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.326645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Alexandra Vagramov54c190.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.842,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko71c180.9$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.441,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Alexandra Vagramov57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4436349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ab…68b6backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko32c164.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7211214.3%16 W · 96 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Alexandra Vagramov60c149.08$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.632,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko32c126.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.736,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Alexandra Vagramov45c113.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.333,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Alexandra Vagramov38c109.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6658048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Alexandra Vagramov48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1779646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308444%37 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Alexandra Vagramov45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Alexandra Vagramov64c97.7$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3882958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Alexandra Vagramov53c94.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.371,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alexandra Vagramov57c93.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.183,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Alexandra Vagramov58c87.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.933,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko32c84.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2721…cf8abacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko46c84.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.46746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko51c74.87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.129347.4%139 W · 154 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Alexandra Vagramov58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.972,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko51c64.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9922638.9%88 W · 138 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexandra Vagramov72c55.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.464,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Alexandra Vagramov79c52.84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8467178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.647136.6%26 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ekaterina Ovcharenko39c49.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.158,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alexandra Vagramov45c48.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.574,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Alexandra Vagramov56c48.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2342350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko41c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.051,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6362…97bfbacked Alexandra Vagramov68c41.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Alexandra Vagramov57c35.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.132,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alexandra Vagramov44c35.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…1ccabacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko42c30.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Alexandra Vagramov51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.893557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Alexandra Vagramov66c16.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.612,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62f…1781backed Alexandra Vagramov76c14.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5626664.7%172 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.