Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd279f1378b91fd0ea54ccbd7cac1084cbf87da42c32f5d5f4aab83a0d23776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oh My Godof JD Gaming, Oh My God
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed JD Gaming | 65c | 23,778$15,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,430.39 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…313fbacked Oh My God | 38c | 13,971$5,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,662.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked JD Gaming | 69c | 4,157$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.83 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Oh My God | 33c | 3,682$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.49 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked JD Gaming | 62c | 3,143$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.96 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…c732backed Oh My God | 32c | 3,005$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oh My God | 25c | 2,481$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.93 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Oh My God | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Oh My God | 37c | 1,887$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.71 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oh My God | 33c | 1,696$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.91 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…8e58backed Oh My God | 33c | 1,026$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.59 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Oh My God | 36c | 951.47$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.42 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…5a49backed JD Gaming | 68c | 861.75$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.59 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Oh My God | 31c | 806$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.47 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Oh My God | 38c | 736.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.67 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked JD Gaming | 67c | 729.05$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.17 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Oh My God | 33c | 659.85$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.1 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Oh My God | 34c | 599.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.98 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…5066backed JD Gaming | 67c | 522.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed JD Gaming | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Oh My God | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Oh My God | 36c | 439.51$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Oh My God | 36c | 407.76$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2679…3ad3backed JD Gaming | 64c | 400.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked JD Gaming | 62c | 399.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.97 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed JD Gaming | 68c | 343.28$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.43 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Oh My God | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked JD Gaming | 66c | 298.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Oh My God | 38c | 266.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed JD Gaming | 74c | 266.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Oh My God | 37c | 217.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed Oh My God | 34c | 211.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Oh My God | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Oh My God | 29c | 166.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Oh My God | 32c | 159.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed JD Gaming | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked JD Gaming | 69c | 143.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…908abacked JD Gaming | 65c | 133.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed JD Gaming | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed JD Gaming | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Oh My God | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed JD Gaming | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed JD Gaming | 66c | 119.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed JD Gaming | 69c | 118.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed JD Gaming | 66c | 110.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Oh My God | 33c | 106.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…7921backed JD Gaming | 66c | 104.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Oh My God | 38c | 101.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed JD Gaming | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Oh My God | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Oh My God | 37c | 95.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed Oh My God | 36c | 94.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked JD Gaming | 19c | 93.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked JD Gaming | 63c | 92.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oh My God | 34c | 88.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…42aabacked JD Gaming | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed JD Gaming | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed JD Gaming | 67c | 73.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Oh My God | 27c | 64.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed JD Gaming | 66c | 60.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Oh My God | 76c | 54.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…9ab1backed JD Gaming | 65c | 52.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Oh My God | 33c | 52.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed JD Gaming | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Oh My God | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked JD Gaming | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed JD Gaming | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 326 | 53.4%174 W · 152 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Oh My God | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed JD Gaming | 64c | 39.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 557 | 50.4%281 W · 276 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed JD Gaming | 65c | 35.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed JD Gaming | 59c | 33.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked JD Gaming | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dc…9644backed Oh My God | 36c | 28.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…5f76backed JD Gaming | 70c | 23.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…2c73backed JD Gaming | 67c | 18.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2JD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerOh My God won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.