TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama State Hornets vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabama State Hornetsof Alabama State Hornets, Prairie View A&M Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama State Hornets51c1,250$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.932,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Prairie View A&M Panthers13c1,115$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9246446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Prairie View A&M Panthers48c779.99$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.326740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Prairie View A&M Panthers59c661.82$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Prairie View A&M Panthers29c528.55$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.111,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Prairie View A&M Panthers57c505.88$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.352,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Alabama State Hornets62c471.93$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Alabama State Hornets48c454.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama State Hornets45c403.54$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alabama State Hornets43c360.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.732,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Alabama State Hornets70c340.47$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.936147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Prairie View A&M Panthers18c329.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Prairie View A&M Panthers29c279.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Prairie View A&M Panthers58c258.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1881453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Prairie View A&M Panthers50c254$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12740147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Alabama State Hornets41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.51,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Prairie View A&M Panthers51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers47c235$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4575447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers45c206$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.71,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Prairie View A&M Panthers18c202.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Alabama State Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Alabama State Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Alabama State Hornets43c194.05$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.341,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers52c116.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.584,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Prairie View A&M Panthers36c97.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.933,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Prairie View A&M Panthers65c94$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.11,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Prairie View A&M Panthers44c83.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5421535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alabama State Hornets76c64.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama State Hornets63c51.92$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.12,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Prairie View A&M Panthers51c51.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9829954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Alabama State Hornets48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2634947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alabama State Hornets58c48.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Alabama State Hornets44c45.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9121746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Prairie View A&M Panthers57c41.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.823,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama State Hornets43c40.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.984,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd74c…7f21backed Prairie View A&M Panthers36c31.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4650%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Alabama State Hornets43c30.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1419332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Prairie View A&M Panthers57c29.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1315066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.