MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de81942440378494ddfbe3ae7d2e9274caf41bc6f14d7113046e33135cf68dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof Samsung Lions, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 52c | 2,368$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 1,546$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.14 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 304.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 34c | 245.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 243.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 223$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 199.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 174.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 166.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 35c | 165.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 159.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 156.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 103.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…c3c2backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 84.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Samsung Lions | 23c | 83.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 76.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 71.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 70.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Kiwoom Heroes | 69c | 62.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 61.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 60.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 53.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 52.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 38.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 38.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 33.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Kiwoom Heroes | 62c | 29.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…c01dbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 29.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 29.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 67c | 23.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 65c | 21.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 21.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.