Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dfe6222dc4bae60ecd76e30793a59c03122af7efe9a9bfc5c40b1e43556b495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HANJIN BRION Challengersof BNK FearX Youth, HANJIN BRION Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.99 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed BNK FearX Youth | 42c | 16,588$6,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,967.07 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed BNK FearX Youth | 42c | 6,913$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.55 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BNK FearX Youth | 50c | 956.58$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.29 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked BNK FearX Youth | 42c | 403.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed BNK FearX Youth | 41c | 242.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked BNK FearX Youth | 48c | 200.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 52c | 196.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed BNK FearX Youth | 42c | 185$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed BNK FearX Youth | 56c | 170.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 58c | 160.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed BNK FearX Youth | 42c | 104.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 55c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked BNK FearX Youth | 47c | 56.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 49c | 54.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 37c | 54.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 53c | 52.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 58c | 50.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 77c | 49.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed BNK FearX Youth | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 67c | 30.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed BNK FearX Youth | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.