CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eadf10a655bbdc410bd1d1d36030dac0ae561eae96c99605e64638ac91280f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof MANA eSports, INOX Division
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked INOX Division | 69c | 9,081$6,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.54 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed INOX Division | 67c | 1,815$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.68 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 25c | 1,508$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked MANA eSports | 18c | 1,330$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed MANA eSports | 25c | 1,268$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.37 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed MANA eSports | 31c | 1,125$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.9 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MANA eSports | 62c | 766.43$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.87 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed INOX Division | 57c | 717.24$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.67 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked MANA eSports | 16c | 619$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked MANA eSports | 18c | 529.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed MANA eSports | 25c | 503.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division | 72c | 500$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed MANA eSports | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed MANA eSports | 42c | 494.51$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked MANA eSports | 62c | 482.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked INOX Division | 50c | 440.73$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.6 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed MANA eSports | 44c | 378.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked MANA eSports | 9c | 370$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed MANA eSports | 28c | 339.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MANA eSports | 33c | 320$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked MANA eSports | 40c | 298.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked MANA eSports | 10c | 258.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed MANA eSports | 48c | 248.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed MANA eSports | 67c | 245.26$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.37 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed MANA eSports | 43c | 229.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked INOX Division | 48c | 228.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MANA eSports | 36c | 225.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked MANA eSports | 69c | 219.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed MANA eSports | 72c | 218.09$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.26 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed MANA eSports | 32c | 212.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7b93backed MANA eSports | 52c | 190.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed MANA eSports | 31c | 156.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed INOX Division | 73c | 136.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 49c | 126.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed MANA eSports | 31c | 119.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 62c | 109.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked MANA eSports | 52c | 109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed MANA eSports | 77c | 93.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed MANA eSports | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked MANA eSports | 27c | 83.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed MANA eSports | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed MANA eSports | 26c | 68.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked INOX Division | 62c | 53.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed MANA eSports | 27c | 47.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked MANA eSports | 43c | 32.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed INOX Division | 72c | 25.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked INOX Division | 72c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-InINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)INOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.