CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36366050c73a4e451525dc4b46e2ab2af424a7f2519bbd0a8bcdd2d23f599597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof MANA eSports, INOX Division
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MANA eSports | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed MANA eSports | 18c | 2,104$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.85 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed MANA eSports | 17c | 2,042$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.12 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed MANA eSports | 17c | 1,539$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.02 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed INOX Division | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed MANA eSports | 18c | 1,203$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.93 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MANA eSports | 20c | 1,090$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.44 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked INOX Division | 80c | 1,017$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed MANA eSports | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed MANA eSports | 20c | 903.32$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.66 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed MANA eSports | 18c | 797.1$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked MANA eSports | 17c | 692.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 19c | 660$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed MANA eSports | 20c | 657$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed MANA eSports | 18c | 490.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked MANA eSports | 14c | 414.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked MANA eSports | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MANA eSports | 19c | 399.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MANA eSports | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…0dbbbacked MANA eSports | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed MANA eSports | 19c | 306.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked MANA eSports | 20c | 305$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed MANA eSports | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed MANA eSports | 19c | 268.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…8dcfbacked MANA eSports | 19c | 268.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed MANA eSports | 18c | 261.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed MANA eSports | 40c | 250.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed MANA eSports | 16c | 249.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MANA eSports | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MANA eSports | 21c | 220$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked MANA eSports | 17c | 215.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed MANA eSports | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MANA eSports | 20c | 195.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed MANA eSports | 19c | 194.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed MANA eSports | 20c | 180.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed MANA eSports | 18c | 175$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MANA eSports | 17c | 168.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked INOX Division | 80c | 150.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed INOX Division | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked MANA eSports | 19c | 122.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MANA eSports | 20c | 117.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906a…714ebacked MANA eSports | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked MANA eSports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked MANA eSports | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked MANA eSports | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed MANA eSports | 17c | 91.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed MANA eSports | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…39e0backed MANA eSports | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed MANA eSports | 17c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked MANA eSports | 20c | 78.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked INOX Division | 70c | 74.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked MANA eSports | 24c | 68.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…e699backed MANA eSports | 19c | 65.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MANA eSports | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…678fbacked MANA eSports | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked MANA eSports | 19c | 59.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…e55abacked MANA eSports | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8a…fcb5backed MANA eSports | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 76c | 33.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed INOX Division | 65c | 25.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 1 WinnerINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)INOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.