CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe432299f89eabb7303e774749b7330841d1e36c229f8f310ea87f5c4c07f348a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 65c | 1,735$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 1,561$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.14 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 33c | 958.64$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 66c | 839.86$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.54 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 33c | 763.56$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Over | 34c | 724.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 33c | 357.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked Over | 33c | 181.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 67c | 119.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Over | 35c | 112.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 32c | 52.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 68c | 50.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 33c | 43.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Over | 33c | 38.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Under | 68c | 36.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 66c | 28.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 61c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Under | 68c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-InINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 1 WinnerINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
- Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)INOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.