Tennis · resolved market
ITF Evansville: Yuki Naito vs Fiona Crawley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ebd460ec978e07340b6ef32466ca7d57166acb03e166a9f42e5e5c135ce13d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuki Naitoof Yuki Naito, Fiona Crawley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Fiona Crawley | 15c | 7,092$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.13 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fiona Crawley | 28c | 2,574$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuki Naito | 70c | 434.22$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yuki Naito | 40c | 428.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.1 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Fiona Crawley | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Fiona Crawley | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Yuki Naito | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Fiona Crawley | 31c | 242.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Fiona Crawley | 47c | 203.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Fiona Crawley | 28c | 184$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Fiona Crawley | 15c | 182.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Fiona Crawley | 34c | 169.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Fiona Crawley | 23c | 121.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Yuki Naito | 76c | 108.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Fiona Crawley | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yuki Naito | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fiona Crawley | 52c | 75.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Yuki Naito | 63c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Fiona Crawley | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Fiona Crawley | 61c | 60.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fiona Crawley | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yuki Naito | 39c | 50.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Fiona Crawley | 59c | 46.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Yuki Naito | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Yuki Naito | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yuki Naito | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Fiona Crawley | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Yuki Naito | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Fiona Crawley | 62c | 34.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Fiona Crawley | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Yuki Naito | 51c | 30.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Yuki Naito | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Yuki Naito | 69c | 26.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Fiona Crawley | 51c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Fiona Crawley | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…889cbacked Yuki Naito | 72c | 19.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Fiona Crawley | 69c | 18.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Fiona Crawley | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yuki Naito | 69c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Fiona Crawley | 63c | 16.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.