Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ebed8c7b07f091ae46a5c01a180e901b25ecaba1c63147d96150d33058a2446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked No | 45c | 13,333$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 55c | 11,682$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,257.11 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 2,459$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…5f54backed Yes | 64c | 1,145$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 35c | 635.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 58c | 571.22$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.91 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 42c | 537.22$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.63 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 37c | 432.78$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 319.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 208.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 186.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c7…8db1backed Yes | 64c | 174.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 63c | 170.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…d117backed Yes | 65c | 154.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 122.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 54c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 35c | 113.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…2dbabacked Yes | 64c | 112.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…07c4backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…22a4backed Yes | 63c | 53.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…b2adbacked Yes | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…7a75backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…ebfebacked Yes | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…f8dabacked Yes | 40c | 25.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…4be5backed Yes | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…53d4backed Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia to win the second half?this page
- Uzbekistan to win the second half?No won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.