Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Ballkani vs. Bohemian FC: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7efa1a5317bf3a49132e094c18aaf73b02af066f4802ff58ac3e455182cbec3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bohemian FCof FC Ballkani, Bohemian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Bohemian FC | 68c | 367$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked FC Ballkani | 32c | 360$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bohemian FC | 69c | 344.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked FC Ballkani | 31c | 310.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Bohemian FC | 61c | 269.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Bohemian FC | 57c | 240$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Ballkani | 45c | 207.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Ballkani | 19c | 199.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bohemian FC | 49c | 190.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bohemian FC | 67c | 104.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed FC Ballkani | 32c | 93.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FC Ballkani | 42c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FC Ballkani | 42c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Bohemian FC | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FC Ballkani | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Ballkani | 32c | 34.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Bohemian FC | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Bohemian FC | 49c | 27.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Bohemian FC | 68c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Ballkani vs. Bohemian FC: Team to Advancethis page
- FC Ballkani vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Ballkani vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Ballkani vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Ballkani vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.