TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1f4…544cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c37,286$19,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,835.725248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights19c15,701$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,717.5369142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers47c10,065$4,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,780.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c9,548$5,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.9236944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nebraska Cornhuskers47c6,650$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.671,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Nebraska Cornhuskers54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.9835151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nebraska Cornhuskers48c4,174$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.041,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Nebraska Cornhuskers47c2,941$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.412334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers48c2,919$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights19c2,723$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.632,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c2,648$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.183627.8%10 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Nebraska Cornhuskers48c1,508$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.0399848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c1,212$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.5389850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers55c453.55$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.455759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c371.18$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4421347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Nebraska Cornhuskers48c237$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.893,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nebraska Cornhuskers48c195$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.495,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c133.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0415733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nebraska Cornhuskers47c94.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.684,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4822954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Nebraska Cornhuskers53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.319851.5%102 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nebraska Cornhuskers49c29.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.562451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c28.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32528%7 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1208…617bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.